Why Is US Intelligence Providing Bogus Numbers of Dead Russian Soldiers?
I am sort of surprised that no one has done what I am going to do… Provide a realistic calculation of the actual number of Russian casualties since the start of the Special Military Operation in February 2022. This includes Killed in Action (KIA) and Wounded in Action (WIA). Sy Hersh, in one of his recent posts, was fed a line of bullshit by a US military or US intelligence source. I don’t blame Sy… He simply reported what he was told. He wrote the following about the current Russian offensive, citing an official:
I was told: “all farmland, no fortified towns or critical communication sites. The monthly casualties have been 380 a month through May. The total now is two million. Most importantly,” the official stressed, “was how this number was described. All the best trained regular Army troops, to be replaced by ignorant peasants. All the best mid-grade officers and NCOs dead. All modern armor and fighting vehicles. Junk. This is unsustainable.”
Really? Two million since February 2022? The numbers don’t add up. If that was true, Russia has lost an average of 48,780 soldiers KIA or WIA per month. Let me show you why that is a garbage number.
2022
The Russian Armed Forces, encompassing all branches (Ground Forces, Navy, Aerospace Forces, Strategic Rocket Forces, Airborne Forces, and Special Operations Forces), had the following estimated personnel:
Active-Duty Personnel: Approximately 900,000 to 1,013,628 active servicemen, with the higher figure cited from a 2017 Kremlin decree that was still in effect. This included:
- Contract Soldiers: Around 400,000–405,000, with 147,000 in the Ground Forces.
- Conscripts: Approximately 270,000, serving mandatory one-year terms, with limited combat deployment outside Russia.
- Officers and NCOs: The remainder, roughly 225,000–338,628, based on the total active figure.
The Russian Ground Forces, a subset of the Armed Forces and the primary component for land operations in Ukraine, were estimated as follows:
- Active Personnel: Approximately 300,000 active-duty personnel, including 147,000 contract soldiers, with the remainder being conscripts and officers.
- Structure: Organized into around 170 Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs), each with 600–800 soldiers, designed fo
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