Partisan Ideology and the Judiciary
With all the talk of “Radical Left Lunatics” and “Crooked Judges” in the federal judiciary, all of whom “should be IMPEACHED!!!,” [see note ** at end], it’s worth taking a look at some interesting analyses by Stanford political scientist Adam Bonica of the relationship between “judicial ideology”** and the outcomes in the many cases challenging Trump Administration policies.
The bottom line:
Judges across ideological lines are ruling against Trump at strikingly similar rates (84% liberal, 86% centrist, 82% conservative).…
Judicial ideology doesn’t predict ruling outcomes [in these cases]. This isn’t commonly the case—ideology is typically a moderate to strong predictor of case outcomes, making this ideological consensus particularly noteworthy. The pattern diverges from what Maya Sen and I found during Trump’s first term, when judge ideology strongly predicted case outcomes. What changed? [emphasis added]
It’s an important point. A judge’s ideology is, usually, a “moderate to strong predictor” of case outcomes – but not here, not in the cases challenging Administration actions on constitutional or statutory grounds. [As noted before, there is a very useful compilation of t
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