Was 2024 the Gender Gap Election?
The lead-up to the 2024 election seemed to portend a historic gender gap in the results, with women assumed to swing heavily to Harris while men would leap to Trump.Â
“Heightened concerns about reproductive rights, ignited by the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision, kickstarted a widening of the gender gap as women flocked to support Democrats in the 2022 midterm elections,” reads one Politico analysis released in August. “The current presidential matchup—featuring the vice president’s historic candidacy and Donald Trump, who is viewed very unfavorably by women—appears to be supercharging this trend.”
“It’s the battle of the sexes and it’s no game,” Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a statement last month. “There is a glaring gap in Michigan and Wisconsin between the number of women supporting Harris and the number of men supporting Trump. On November 5th, it will all come down to who shows up.”
One Harris ad encouraged women to vote Democratic in defiance of their Republican husbands.
“In the one place in America women still have the right to choose, you can vote any way you want and no one will ever know,” Julia Roberts narrates over footage of a woman—in a rhinestone-encrusted American flag baseball cap no less—hovering her pen over the Trump box on her ballot, before locking eyes with another woman and filling in the bubble for Harris.Â
However, exit polls indicate that the predictions of an unprecedented gender divide didn’t come to fruition. Yes, there was a large gap in how men and women voted, but it was a simil
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