Poll: Only 26 Percent of Democrats Want Biden To Run in 2024
Majorities of Republicans and Democrats reject both Trump and Biden as 2024 candidates. If another presidential contest between Joe Biden and Donald Trump ends up happening, many Americans—including large numbers of Democrats and Republicans—won’t be pleased. New polls suggest that a majority of Democrats don’t want Biden as their party’s nominee and a majority of Republicans would rather have someone other than Trump.
Both findings come from the latest New York Times/Siena College poll, a survey of 849 registered voters conducted July 5-7. The poll found Biden came out on top in a potential rematch with Trump, but the spread between the two candidates—44 percent to 41 percent—is less than the poll’s sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points.
Interestingly, Democrats were more likely to vote for Biden in a Trump-Biden contest than Republicans were likely to vote for Trump, but Republican attachment to Trump was stronger than Democratic attachment to Biden.
Overall, 49 percent of the Republican voters surveyed said they preferred Trump to other hypothetical candidates in a five-way matchup. Only 26 percent of the Democratic voters polled said they would like to see Biden as their party’s 2024 presidential nominee.
Among younger Democratic voters, support for Biden was even lower, with a whopping 94 percent saying they want someone other than Biden. Younger Republican voters were less supportive of Trump, too, but the gap was not as wide, with 59 percent of respondents under 30 saying they would vote against him in a Republican primary.
After Trump, the most popular potential presidential candidate among Republicans was Florida Gov. Rick DeSantis. In a hypothetical 2024 primary matchup between Trump, DeSantis, and four others, 25 percent of Republican respondents overall (and 32 percent of college-educated Republicans) preferred DeSantis. Only 7 percent preferred Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, 6 percent preferred former Vice President Mike Pence, and 6 percent preferred former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley.
So, a slight majority of Republican primary voters would vote for someone other than Trump, but as of now Trump still beats any single competitor by a lot.
“The survey suggests that Mr. Trump would not necessarily enter a primary with an insurmountable advantage over rivals like Mr. DeSantis,” writes the Times‘ Michael C. Bender. “His share of the Republican primary electorate is less than Hillary Clinton’s among Democrats was at the outset of the 2016 race, when she was viewed as the inevitable front-runner, but ultimately found herself embroiled in a protracted primary against Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont.”
If Biden and Trump do face off again in 2024, a not-insignificant percentage of Republicans may not vote for Trump. In the New York Times/Siena College poll, 7 percent of Republican respondents said they would vote for Biden, 2 percent said they would vote for another candidate, and 4 percent said they wouldn’t vote.
In total, only 85 percent of Republican respondents said they would vote for Trump in a Trump-Biden contest. Ninety-two percent of Democratic respondents said they would vote for Biden in this scenario (4 percent said they would vote for Trump, 2 percent said they would vote for another candidate, and 2 percent said they would not vote at all).
But that doesn’t mean most Democrats are thrilled with the prospect of Biden being their party’s presidential candidate again in 2024. Sixty-four percent said they hope the Democratic Party will nominate someone else in 2024.
Biden’s age was the number one reason Democratic respondents cited for rejecting him, with 33 percent saying this was the key reason they would prefer another nominee. Age was followed closely by job performance (32 percent). Only 10 percent said it’s because he is “not progressive enough” and 4 percent cited concerns over his ability to win.
Article from Reason.com