The Science of Lockdown, Masks, & Vaccines Is Crumbling
Herd immunity not allowed
The primary thrust of public health directives has been to keep the population fearful and therefore compliant and vulnerable to infection and in desperate need of a vaccine. In the absence of a vaccine people need to be exposed and infected to activate sufficient antibodies to produce long-term immunity. That is what is called herd immunity.
But by socially distancing and wearing masks, any herd immunity would theoretically be slowed, or delayed indefinitely. Health authorities are talking out of two sides of their mouth. It is possible there will never be a safe and effective coronavirus vaccine. Herd immunity is plan B, but lockdowns and face-masks run counter to the development of herd immunity.
Lockdowns aren’t intended to save lives
Johan Giesecke, professor emeritus at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm says a lockdown only pushes severe cases and deaths into the future, it will not prevent them.
Even should a vaccine be licensed, if a vaccine is to have efficacy (ability to protect against infection and symptoms of fever, shortness of breath, dry cough, or prevent hospitalization and death) – – at least 70% of a population has to be vaccinated to prevent an emerging epidemic and an 80% immunization rate achieved to extinguish an ongoing epidemic (complete return to normal).
The Food & Drug Administration has set the bar low for licensure of a vaccine. A vaccine will only need to prevent or decrease severity of the COVID-19 coronavirus by at least 50 percent, said the FDA before a Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions committee. No mention of saving lives.
The chart below displays the (in)effectiveness of flu vaccines over recent years. Efficacy ranges from 10% to 60% depending on the year. Will any COVID-19 vaccine fare better?
But that performance mark should be confined to 70% to 80% of high-risk individuals, not the masses of healthy people.
Did Sweden “Fail Completely?”
Sweden is a country whose approach to protect the public from COVID-19 was to concentrate preventive measures among the most vulnerable nursing home patients and rely on herd immunity to protect remaining Swedes.
Critics in Germany say Swedish health authorities “failed completely” because the COVID-19 death rate was 1072-times greater in Sweden (2679 deaths/ 10 million inhabitants) compared to Taiwan (just 6 deaths per 24 million inhabitants) that enforced strict measures to prevent the spread of the disease.
But as Dr. Giesecke instructs, strict prevention measures are not intended to do anything but keep hospital intensive care units from being over-run with patients (flatten the curve), not save lives. There must be some other hidden factors involved to explain the widely different death rates between Sweden and Taiwan.
Taiwan has inexplicable low COVID-19 death rate
Taiwan is 81 miles off the coast of mainland China and was expected to have the second highest number of cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) due to its proximity to and number of flights between China. The country has 23 million citizens of which 850,000 reside in and 404,000 work in China. In 2019, 2.71 million visitors from the mainland traveled to Taiwan. Taiwan would be expected to have a high infection and mortality rate given its proximity to China where the COVID-19 pandemic began.
A financial factor goes unmentioned. Taiwan does not reimburse hospitals more for a COVID-19 diagnosis as do other countries.
Another Asian country, Thailand, also reports a very low COVID-19 death rate.
As of September 14, 2020 only 58 COVID-19 related deaths have been reported in Thailand out of a population of 69 million. There have only been 3000 cases reported and all new cases initially came from overseas. There were actually more (2551) deaths from suicide as a result of livelihoods that were destroyed in Thailand.
Economist Martin Armstrong reports Thailand, like Taiwan, is a country that does not pay hospitals if the patient tests positive for COVID-19.
SARS outbreak of 2003
SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome) produced a small epidemic throughout Asia in 2003. This may explain why Taiwan and Thailand have such low COVID-19 death rates.
The 2003 outbreak of SARS-CoV (severe acute respiratory syndrome) that attacked Taiwan resulted in 150,000 being quarantined but only 24 cases were laboratory confirmed.
Another report states Taiwan had 154 reported cases and 31 SARS deaths in 2003.
There was also a very low reported transmission rate for SARS in Thailand. By March of 2003 there were only five suspected cases of SARS in Thailand, all from infection acquired outside the country.
However, SARS must have spread far beyond those reported numbers. There must have been many non-laboratory-confirmed cases that didn’t require doctoring or hospitalization and therefore never got on the COVID-19 counts.
A more extensive “spreading” study found a single SARS-infected patient in Taiwan exposed more than 10,000 people to this infectious disease. So obviously, many millions were exposed and infected.
Dr. Johan Giesecke says:
“Everyone will be exposed to COVID-19 coronavirus and most people will become infected. COVID-19 is spreading like wildfire in all countries, but we do not see it – it almost always spreads from younger people with no or weak symptoms to other people who will have mild symptoms… there is very little we can do to prevent this spread… I expect the number of deaths from COVID-19 will be similar regardless of measures taken… it is not certain vaccines will be very effective.”
Financial incentives skew death rate
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Article from LewRockwell