Quick Reminder: Don’t Compare the Final 2020 Popular Vote Totals with Non-Final 2024 Vote Totals
Right now, Harris is at about 67M (N.Y. Times data), but about 45% of California votes aren’t yet included in that tally, plus 30% of Oregon votes, 35% of Washington votes, 35% of Arizona votes, and some more in other states. Given that so far the 54% of California votes that have been counted are split 5.6M for Harris to 3.9M for Trump, that suggests the remaining 46% will add roughly 4.8M to Harris’s tally and roughly 3.3M to Trump’s.
I went through the N.Y. Times map and entered the data from the states which weren’t listed as >95% reporting,
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