How to fix Ukraine. This was difficult to write, so please be considerate.

How to fix Ukraine:

1. Realize that this kind of momentum can lead to nuclear war between the U.S. and Russia. This realization is more likely to bring the warring powers to diplomacy. Furthermore, realize that whether or not the war comes to a stop, the nuclear option is (regardless) ‘on the table,’ and this option protects both the U.S. and Russia.

2. Define clear boundaries of war in the case that a cease-fire is broken. War is a sloppy mess most of the time, and any idiot can accidently start something on either false intelligence or brash thinking. However, there needs to be a simple protocol to stop fighting after a cease-fire.

   A ‘tit for tat’ style of fighting needs to be erected between the powers. The U.S. should send in drones to fire back at Russian forces for every attack by the Russian air force. This ‘tit for tat’ idea (which can be maintained by U.S. and Russian intelligence) makes sure that the war stops when any brash thinker becomes unstable. Also, it prevents all out war by any side due to over-extension or fear. This idea is further cemented because Russian forces can monitor losses in jets easier than losses in ground forces due to radar. Fortunately, though ground fighting can still continue, it is harder to maintain with (Ukrainian held) anti-aircraft launchers and without (Russian) air support.

3. We have to realize that Ukraine is now a hostage situation. If we don’t, the Russians will continue their war into Europe until more hostages are taken. This will only create more tension and lead us towards the possibility of nuclear war.

Thus, part (or all) of Ukraine is essentially Russian property until time has healed the wounds of war. With human collateral, the clear aggressors (Russia) have less reason to proceed. And like bank robbers with an endless amount of time, the war will stop.

1. We need to allow for complete economic freedom between the warring nations. Just like Germany after WWII, Russia cannot be separated from the world. Without economic freedom, war may resurface.

2. Although Russia will gain economic freedom, and hostages, it is still necessary to provide liquidity between the warring nations. This money will allow for mis-happenings to occur without war breaking out. Like lube on gears, as long as there is payment coming in, Russia will be less willing to attack from purely accidental situations.

3. To rebuild Ukraine, it will take serious economic incentives. Also note that Russia has no reason to let Ukraine come back economically unless Russia’s payout is expanded. It could take trillions of dollars, and neither side has that. However there is a simple solution. I imagine that Ukraine would have tremendously low property values. Since pricing generally accommodates property value, it is clear that Ukraine will have very low prices in certain areas after the war.

The ECB can take advantage of these low prices by bringing Ukraine into the euro area, thereby lowering inflation in the EU, and allowing for more potential economic expansion by both sides. The lower prices will allow for hotter economic growth. That means that economic expansion can be funded with printed euros instead of taxation.

Doing some quick math, since there are 800 cities in the EU, and about 300 cities in Ukraine, Ukraine can retain more than ⅜ of the yearly printed monetary aggregate. That is ⅜ of 3 trillion dollars over 5 years. It is more than 225 billion dollars a year (going by 2016 numbers). That is outstanding for a country that had a GDP of 155.5 billion USD in 2020.